PROFIT TAKER

1. Take the profit, not the risk.
2. Money maker is create the money, don’t search for it.
3. Be an investor in the early stage of bullish market ; usually at October - April. Be a speculator in the end of bullish market and in the bear market ; usually at May – September.
"This business is not about investing in great companies, it's about profiting from inefficiently priced stocks."

The Quotes :
1. You can’t control what the market does, but you can control your reaction to the market. Examine what you do all the time. That’s what trading is all about.
2. Methodology: combine lots of information that coming from all directions with a good feel for how the markets are moving to market bets.
3. Differentiates from other traders: Don't be a lone wolf. Many traders like to fight their own battles. It's better to get a lot of support. The main reason to be successful is built an incredible team.
4. It is critical that your style of trading match your personality. There is no single right way to trade the markets. Know who you are. For example, don’t try to be both an investor and a day trader. Choose an approach that is comfortable for you.
5. It is important to make sure you have a good reason for putting on a trade.
6. Being a great trader is a process. Trading is an evolutionary process.

The Edge :
" Combines the information flow provided by the select group of traders and analysts that have assembled, with innate timing skills as a trader. "

Goal Achievement & Trading Success :
1. BELIEVING makes it possible
2. To achieve a goal, you not only have to believe it is possible, but you also have to COMMIT to achieving it.
3. A commitment that promises the goal to others (SHARE) is more powerful than a commitment made to oneself.
4. Extraordinary performers – Olympic gold medal winners, supertraders – continually redefine their goals so they are a STRETCH. Maintaining exceptional performance requires leaving the comfort zone.
5. After setting a goal, the trader or athlete needs to define a STRATEGY that is consistent with the target.
6. Traders, athletes, and other goal-oriented individuals need to MONITOR their performance to make sure they are on track with their target and to diagnose what is holding them back if they are not.

MARKET TIMING

Menurut seorang personal investor di USA bernama Leslie N. Masonson dalam bukunya "All About Market Timing" dan berdasarkan pengalaman dan pengamatan pribadi di Bursa Efek Jakarta, ada suatu strategi investasi dengan memperhatikan market timing, yaitu ada saat untuk berinvestasi ketika market up-trend dan melikuidasi semuanya (cash in atau melakukan short position) ketika kondisi market down-trend.

Statistik dan historis membuktikan bahwa sistem ini terbukti jauh lebih berhasil dan mengurangi tingkat resiko investasi dengan perbedaan yang signifikan. Secara ringkas sistem ini bernama The Best Six Months Strategy. BSM Strategy memiliki karakteristik sebagai berikut:

• Hanya ada dua sinyal pertahun - satu beli dan satu jual.
• Sinyal beli berakhir pada 1 November, dan sinyal jual mendekati tanggal 30 April.
• Imbal hasil tahunan sistem ini melebihi sistem buy-and-hold , dengan dasar resiko yang telah disesuaikan.
• Strategi ini menghilangkan the brunt of bear market, karena tidak berinvestasi dalam setengah tahun terburuk melainkan berinvestasi dalam bulan-bulan terbaik sepanjang tahun.
• Strategi ini mengurangi tingkat resiko hingga 50% daripada strategi buy-and-hold .
• Waktu yang dibutuhkan untuk mengimplementasikan strategi ini sangat minimal (sekitar setengah jam per-tahun).

The Implementation:

• Avoid September. Potensi Market crash.
• Kesempatan berinvestasi bulan Oktober. Buy on the weakness then hold.
• November - April : weekly / monthly trading.
• April : divestasi. Sell on the strength.
• Mei - Juni : trading sell. SOS - BOW
• Juli - Agustus : trading buy. BOW - SOS

BULLISH TRAP ?

Bursa Dow Jones pada penutupan 21 Juni 2006 ditutup pada level 11,079 menguat 104 poin atau 0.95%. Penguatan bursa USA ini serta merta mempengaruhi market Asia pada 22 Juni seperti Nikkei ditutup pada level 15,135 naik 491 poin (3.36%). Hangseng pada 15,826 menguat 167 poin (1.07%). Strait Times pada 2362 naik 32 poin (1.41%). Faktor utama yang membuat DJIA naik adalah information release data cadangan minyak USA yang sangat mencukupi. Namun hal yang "aneh" adalah futures oil price juga ikut naik!

Bila faktanya memang cadangan minyak mentah USA melimpah, sementara konsumsi cenderung menurun sebagai akibat perlambatan ekonomi dan musim panas, seharusnya harga oil futures ikut menurun. Ada kemungkinan besar bahwa kartel spekulan-kapitalis USA yang mempermainkan oil commodities contracts tersebut sebagai bagian rencana jangka menengah supaya bursa finansial tetap berada dalam kondisi bullish. Dari sisi market timing, kondisi bursa saat ini bisa dikatakan sebagai bullish trap, kesempatan jual untuk mendapkan harga yang lumayan baik.

Catatan: opening JSX jam 09.30 pada level 1313 naik 20 poin. US$= Rp.9320 menguat 50 poin.